Insights
Golden Opportunity: Inflows Could Drive Spot Prices Even Higher
US deficits could fuel gold prices taking the spot rate from its all time high even higher. Read Sameer Saifan’s views here.
Paravene Capital: Macroeconomic Outlook – March 2024
This video highlights some of our contrarian macroeconomic views, informing the themes within our strategies.
Controlling the Bab Al Mandab strait: the key to avoiding stagflation?
The Houthi rebel attacks on vessels in the Red Sea are of significance and whilst the West seems to be in control of the Bab Al Mandab strait currently, we believe if that changes and supply chains become disrupted inflationary pressure will follow and either delay interest rate cuts or lead to sharp hikes.
The sticky business of inflation forecasts
As global inflation rates slowly fall during 2023, we discuss the accuracy of analyst forecasts and if a ‘pivot’ from the Federal Reserve is on the horizon.
Setting the record straight on systematic investing
In this short piece we attempt to refute some of the myths associated with systematic investing to help investors make a more balanced appraisal of their portfolio.
The challenges of running twin deficits for the Japanese economy
The Bank of Japan is in a difficult situation and the decisions that it and its allies make over the coming months could have a wide-reaching impact on global financial markets.
The diversification benefits of adding systematic strategies to a traditional portfolio
We discuss the increasing sophistication of the investment management industry and the benefits of diversification, especially during times of market stress.
Rising supply-side pressures point to global inflation for the long-term
We discuss some of the forces that are currently exerting upwards pressure on prices and ask investors if they are properly prepared for the potential effects of inflation on their portfolios.
Is Quantitative Tightening a Major Policy Mistake for the Federal Reserve?
With inflationary pressures growing, how many rate rises can the US be expected to make in a challenging economic environment?